Created a year ago, updated 7 months ago

Distribution Future Energy Scenarios - DFES 2019

Northern Powergrid's electricity distribution network is key to achieving decarbonisation goals in the northeast of England, Yorkshire, and parts of Lincolnshire. We are therefore presenting our Distribution Future Energy Scenarios (DFES) using an open data approach. Your feedback will help us to plan our network for the future developments in our region and to deliver the services and infrastructure required to fulfil the ambitions and plans of our regional stakeholders.

Our Distribution Future Energy Scenarios (DFES) 2019 show our predictions under four scenarios representing a regional interpretation of National Grid's GB Future Energy Scenarios, found here. The DFES data available below provides our forecasts down to primary substation level. We have provided a geo-spatial tool to help visualise these values both at a primary substation and Local Authority level. During the first quarter of 2020 we are seeking feedback on the forecasts presented and two feedback forms can be downloaded below. We will use your feedback to help inform our view of how we can best develop our network.

The parameters for which we are sharing our forecasts are fully explained in the DFES document downloadable below. The data itself can be downloaded on a local authority basis as well as for all of our primary electricity substations, major sites (bulk supply points), grid supply points and as an overall view for Northern Powergrid. The available data covers the following key DFES 2019 parameters:-

Low Carbon Technologies: Electric Vehicles (number); Heat Pumps (number); Domestic photovoltaic installed capacity (MW)

Energy consumption: Domestic underlying energy consumption (MWh); Industrial and commercial underlying energy consumption (MWh); Total energy consumption including electric vehicles and heat pumps (MWh)

Generation: Large solar generation installed capacity (MW); Wind generation installed capacity (MW); Other generation installed capacity (MW); Energy storage installed capacity (MW)

Electricity Demand: Peak demand at Primary Substations (MW); Peak demand with customer flexibility at Primary Substations (MW); Peak utilisation at Primary Substations (%); Peak utilisation with customer flexibility at Primary Substations (%)

The Distribution Future Energy Scenarios (DFES) document presenting high level results and signposting to the open data and the visualisation tool

This is a form for proving simple qualitative feedback on the values of certain forecast parameters across the Northern Powergrid DFES. We are asking you just 9 questions

In addition to the qualitative feedback, if you do have your own run of numbers for any of the parameters or supporting information we are interested in feeding your projections into DFES modelling.

This spreadsheet contains the data behind the DFES document and shows values for the Northern Powergrid overview for each parameter included in our DFES. Forecast projections go out to 2050.

This workbook contains the data for the Local Authority based forecasts, as calculated using the visualisation raw primary files and the LA by Primary splits. It contains all of the relevant parameters and scenarios and is data only with no charts.

This workbook contains some useful charts and summary tables for the Local Authority based forecasts for Electric Vehicles. The data behind these is calculated using the visualisation raw primary files and the LA by Primary splits.

This workbook contains metadata which may be helpful to you as you navigate your way around Northern Powergrid's DFES 2019. It includes the percentage allocations of local authorities across primary substations, a description of key DFES parameters, and an information sheet about our network topology listing substations, their types and their network relationships.

This workbook contains the Grid Supply Point (GSP) forecast projections out to 2050 for the key DFES parameters in Northern Powergrid's DFES 2019. There is a separate page for each parameter. Each page contains all the data for the parameter for every GSP and every scenario.

This workbook contains the Bulk Supply Point (BSP) forecast projections out to 2050 for the energy consumption related DFES parameters (underlying demand, electric vehicles and heat pumps) in Northern Powergrid's DFES 2019. There is a separate page for each parameter and each scenario. Each page contains all the data for the parameter and scenario for every BSP.

This workbook contains the Bulk Supply Point (BSP) forecast projections out to 2050 for the generation related DFES parameters (wind, domestic solar, large solar, CHP, Other, Storage) in Northern Powergrid's DFES 2019. There is a separate page for each parameter and each scenario. Each page contains all the data for the parameter and scenario for every BSP.

This workbook contains the Bulk Supply Point (BSP) forecast projections out to 2050 for the demand related DFES parameters (peak demand, electric vehicles and heat pumps) in Northern Powergrid's DFES 2019. There is a separate page for each parameter and each scenario. Each page contains all the data for the parameter and scenario for every BSP.

From
31/12/2019
To
31/12/2019

ODI Leeds created unique geographies for each Primary Substation in the Northern Powergrid network for use in the heatmap visualisation. Customer postcodes (with connections to Distribution Substations/Primary Substations) were mapped to ONS Output Areas using the ONS's lookup table (OGL). The Primary Substation with the most customers in an Output Area gained that Output Area. We merged the Output Area polygons (ONS) into single polygons for each Primary Substation. Note the some Primary Substations had few (or no) residential customers and they have been included as small rectangular cut-outs.

Projections of number of registered plug in electric vehicles (pure and hybrid), at each primary substation, up to 2050.

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Please note this is number of electric vehicles, not number of charge points.

Projections of number of registered plug in electric vehicles (pure and hybrid), at each primary substation, up to 2050.

To download as CSV file, right click and 'save link as'.

Please note this is number of electric vehicles, not number of charge points.

Projections of number of registered plug in electric vehicles (pure and hybrid), at each primary substation, up to 2050.

To download as CSV file, right click and 'save link as'.

Please note this is number of electric vehicles, not number of charge points.

Projections of number of registered plug in electric vehicles (pure and hybrid), at each primary substation, up to 2050.

To download as CSV file, right click and 'save link as'.

Please note this is number of electric vehicles, not number of charge points.

Projections of number of heat pumps per residential household and commercial properties including from district heating schemes, at each primary substation, up to 2050.

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Projections of number of heat pumps per residential household and commercial properties including from district heating schemes, at each primary substation, up to 2050.

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Projections of number of heat pumps per residential household and commercial properties including from district heating schemes, at each primary substation, up to 2050.

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Projections of number of heat pumps per residential household and commercial properties including from district heating schemes, at each primary substation, up to 2050.

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Projections for capacity of solar PV panels on domestic roofs for installations less than 4kW, at each primary substation, up to 2050.

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Projections for capacity of solar PV panels on domestic roofs for installations less than 4kW, at each primary substation, up to 2050.

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Projections for capacity of solar PV panels on domestic roofs for installations less than 4kW, at each primary substation, up to 2050.

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Projections for capacity of solar PV panels on domestic roofs for installations less than 4kW, at each primary substation, up to 2050.

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Projections of installed capacity of industrial and commercial solar farms, at each primary substation, up to 2050.

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.Projections of installed capacity of industrial and commercial solar farms, at each primary substation, up to 2050.

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Projections of installed capacity of industrial and commercial solar farms, at each primary substation, up to 2050.

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Projections of installed capacity of industrial and commercial solar farms, at each primary substation, up to 2050.

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Projections of installed capacity of industrial and commercial onshore and offshore wind farms, at each primary substation, up to 2050.

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Projections of installed capacity of industrial and commercial onshore and offshore wind farms at each primary substation, up to 2050.

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Projections of installed  capacity of industrial and commercial onshore and offshore wind farms, at each primary substation, up to 2050.

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Projections of installed  capacity of industrial and commercial onshore and offshore wind farms, at each primary substation, up to 2050.

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Projections of 'other' installed capacity generation sources, at each primary substation, up to 2050. Includes: biomass, waste, CHP, gas and other thermal...

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Projections of  'other' installed capacity generation sources, at each primary substation, up to 2050. Includes: biomass, waste, CHP, gas and other thermal...

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Projections of  'other' installed capacity generation sources, at each primary substation, up to 2050. Includes: biomass, waste, CHP, gas and other thermal...

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Projections of  'other' installed capacity generation sources, at each primary substation, up to 2050. Includes: biomass, waste, CHP, gas and other thermal...

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Projections of installed capacity of domestic, industrial and commercial batteries, at each primary substation, up to 2050.

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Projections of installed capacity of domestic, industrial and commercial batteries, at each primary substation, up to 2050.

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Projections of installed capacity of domestic, industrial and commercial batteries, at each primary substation, up to 2050.

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Projections of installed capacity of domestic, industrial and commercial batteries, at each primary substation, up to 2050.

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Projections of annual energy consumption by residential households excluding electric vehicle and heat pump consumption, at each primary substation, up to 2050.

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Projections of annual energy consumption by residential households excluding electric vehicle and heat pump consumption, at each primary substation, up to 2050.

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Projections of annual energy consumption by residential households excluding electric vehicle and heat pump consumption, at each primary substation, up to 2050.

To download as CSV file, right click and 'save link as'.

Projections of annual energy consumption by residential households excluding electric vehicle and heat pump consumption, at each primary substation, up to 2050.

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Projections of annual energy consumption by industrial and commercial properties excluding electric vehicles and heat pump consumption, at each primary substation, up to 2050.

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Projections of annual energy consumption by industrial and commercial properties excluding electric vehicles and heat pump consumption at each primary substation, up to 2050.

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Projections of annual energy consumption by industrial and commercial properties excluding electric vehicles and heat pump consumption, at each primary substation, up to 2050.

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Projections of annual energy consumption by industrial and commercial properties excluding electric vehicles and heat pump consumption, at each primary substation, up to 2050.

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Projections of total energy consumption by domestic households and industrial and commercial properties including electric vehicle and heat pump consumption, at each primary substation, up to 2050.

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Projections of total energy consumption by domestic households and industrial and commercial properties including electric vehicle and heat pump consumption, at each primary substation, up to 2050.

To download as CSV file, right click and 'save link as'.

Projections of total energy consumption by domestic households and industrial and commercial properties including electric vehicle and heat pump consumption, at each primary substation, up to 2050.

To download as CSV file, right click and 'save link as'.

Projections of total  energy consumption by domestic households and industrial and commercial properties including electric vehicle and heat pump consumption,  at each primary substation, up to 2050.

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Projections of peak half hourly demand within the year, at each primary substation, up to 2050.

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Projections of peak half hourly demand within the year, at each primary substation, up to 2050.

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Projections of peak half hourly demand within the year, at each primary substation, up to 2050.

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Projections of peak half hourly demand within the year, at each primary substation, up to 2050.

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Projections of peak half hourly demand, at each primary substation, incorporating customer flexibility impacts on load, up to 2050.

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Projections of peak half hourly demand, at each primary substation, incorporating customer flexibility impacts on load, up to 2050.

To download as CSV file, right click and 'save link as'.

Projections of peak half hourly demand, at each primary substation, incorporating customer flexibility impacts on load, up to 2050.

To download as CSV file, right click and 'save link as'.

Projections of peak half hourly demand, at each primary substation, incorporating customer flexibility impacts on load, up to 2050.

To download as CSV file, right click and 'save link as'.

Projections of peak half hourly demand within the year as proportion of primary substation capacity, up to 2050.

Please note these values are percentages, not raw numbers. E.g. 69.80 = 69.8%.

To download as CSV file, right click and 'save link as'.

Projections of peak half hourly demand within the year as proportion of primary substation capacity, up to 2050.

Please note these values are percentages, not raw numbers. E.g. 69.80 = 69.8%.

To download as CSV file, right click and 'save link as'.

Projections of peak half hourly demand within the year as proportion of primary substation capacity, up to 2050.

Please note these values are percentages, not raw numbers. E.g. 69.80 = 69.8%.

To download as CSV file, right click and 'save link as'.

Projections of peak half hourly demand within the year as proportion of primary substation capacity, up to 2050.

Please note these values are percentages, not raw numbers. E.g. 69.80 = 69.8%.

To download as CSV file, right click and 'save link as'.

Projections of peak half hourly demand within the year as a proportion of primary substation capacity, incorporating customer flexibility, up to 2050.

Please note these values are percentages, not raw numbers. E.g. 69.80 = 69.8%.

To download as CSV file, right click and 'save link as'.

Projections of peak half hourly demand within the year as a proportion of primary substation capacity, incorporating customer flexibility, up to 2050.

Please note these values are percentages, not raw numbers. E.g. 69.80 = 69.8%.

To download as CSV file, right click and 'save link as'.

Projections of peak half hourly demand within the year as a proportion of primary substation capacity, incorporating customer flexibility, up to 2050.

Please note these values are percentages, not raw numbers. E.g. 69.80 = 69.8%.

To download as CSV file, right click and 'save link as'.

Projections of peak half hourly demand within the year as a proportion of primary substation capacity, incorporating customer flexibility, up to 2050.

Please note these values are percentages, not raw numbers. E.g. 69.80 = 69.8%.

To download as CSV file, right click and 'save link as'.