Distribution Future Energy Scenarios - DFES 2022

Northern Powergrid's electricity distribution network is key to achieving decarbonisation goals in the northeast of England, Yorkshire, and parts of Lincolnshire. We are therefore presenting our Distribution Future Energy Scenarios (DFES) using an open data approach. Your feedback will help us to plan our network for the future developments in our region and to deliver the services and infrastructure required to fulfil the ambitions and plans of our regional stakeholders.

Our Distribution Future Energy Scenarios (DFES) 2022 show our predictions under a Planning Scenario we developed in response to stakeholder feedback to represent our best view; and also four scenarios representing a regionalised interpretation of National Grid's GB Future Energy Scenarios, found here. The DFES data available below provides our forecasts down to primary substation level. We have provided a geo-spatial tool to help visualise these values both at a primary substation and local authority level. During the first quarter of 2022 we are seeking feedback on the forecasts presented. We will use your feedback to help inform our view of how we can best develop our network.

The parameters for which we are sharing our forecasts are fully explained in the DFES document downloadable below. The data itself can be downloaded on a local authority basis as well as for all of our primary electricity substations, major sites (bulk supply points), grid supply points and as an overall view for Northern Powergrid. Available data includes the following key DFES 2022 parameters but we will continue to load new parameters, as and when we find out that they are of interest to you:

Low carbon technologies :

electric vehicles (number)
heat pumps (number)
domestic photovoltaic installed capacity (MW)

Energy consumption :

domestic underlying energy consumption (MWh)
industrial and commercial underlying energy consumption (MWh)
Total energy consumption including electric vehicles and heat pumps (MWh)

Generation :

Large solar generation installed capacity (MW)
Wind generation installed capacity (MW)
Other generation installed capacity (MW)
Energy storage installed capacity (MW)

Electricity network demand :

Peak demand at Primary Substations (MW)
Peak utilisation at Primary Substations (%)

This repository will be populated during December 2022, if you think something is missing during this period, please check back later before contacting us.

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